Latest Synovate poll: Nana Addo leads Mills

A national opinion poll conducted by international market research organization, Synovate, has the 2012 Presidential Candidate of the New Patriotic Party, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo, 5 percentage points ahead of his closest rival, President JEA Mills, Presidential Candidate of the ruling National Democratic Congress, in the run up to the 2012 general elections.

However, if elections were held today Nana Akufo-Addo would lead but still fall short of the more than 50% mark required for outright victory. The opinion poll carried out in September this year surveyed a total of 1,723 respondents.

When the question, “If elections were held today in Ghana, who would you vote for?” was posed to respondents Nana Akufo-Addo polled 48%, representing 827 respondents, to President Mills’ 41%, representing a total of 706 respondents.

5%, representing a total of 86 respondents, stated they would vote for Dr Paa Kwesi Nduom, the 2008 Presidential Candidate of the Conventions People Party (CPP), with the 2008 Presidential Candidate of the Peoples National Convention, Dr Edward Mahama obtaining 1% of respondents surveyed.

Perhaps, as a sign of reducing voter disillusionment, 3% of the 1,723 people polled across the nation, said they “didn’t know” who they’ll vote for, with 2% refusing to state who they will vote for, as opposed to 6% who stated they will not vote in the May polls.

The Synovate sampling also has the NPP flagbearer leading in three out of the four swing regions, with President Mills recovering in popularity in Greater Accra Region with 46% (as compared to 32% in May) and Nana Addo increasing from 35% in May to 37%.

However, Nana Addo beat Mills in the Central Region with 46% (from a dip of 40% in May), Western Region 59% (from 57% in May) and Brong Ahafo 56%, a significant jump from 51% in May.

Mills’ popularity reduced in the Central Region, his home region, from 44% in May to 42% in September. Results from the Brong Ahafo Region also saw Mills’ popularity dwindle from 35% in May to 32% in September. Results, on the other hand, from the Western Region represented significant gains for President Mills. President Mills obtained 34% in the Western Region as opposed to 25% in May.

The pollsters interviewed people in their homes.

“For households with more than one person aged 18years and above (multiple eligible persons in a household) we used the Kish grid, this is a table of random numbers. Only one interview was carried out per household and each respondent spoke for themselves,” Synovate says.

Synovate is the market research arm of Aegis Group plc, with offices in over 60 countries, including Ghana, Kenya, Australia and the United Kingdom.

Click here for full details of polls

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